betting against the spread week 7

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Betting against the spread week 7

Gardner Minshew and the Jaguars travel to the west coast after getting crushed at home by the Detroit Lions last week. Blowing big leads has been a problem for Los Angeles. Both teams are riding a long losing streak but Los Angeles has faced a tougher schedule. The Chargers four losses were by a The Jaguars last four losses, against teams with a record, have been by a average final margin.

Lay the If this game was played exactly one week ago the Patriots would have been around -4 favorites and the entire public would be on them. Instead, we saw a banged up San Francisco 49ers team come out and get a must win game at home against the Rams while the Patriots had an extreme dud game at home versus Denver. New England wins this game running away. Ian Ritchie SIGambling. This has to be put up or shut up time for Dallas.

There's no more time to waste, even in a pathetic NFC East. Andy Dalton had a rough week against the Cardinals, but the matchup against Washington is much more advantageous, especially with the amount of talent at wide receiver. Zeke Elliott gets a dream bounce-back spot against one of the worst defenses in the NFL, and because the public has finally had enough of Dallas letting them down ATS , they're now dogs in a game they should easily win.

Scott Atkins ScottFantasy. After the Dolphins easily covered against the Jets with my best bet last week, I believe the trend continues again this week and I'll pick on the Jets again. The Bills come to town and with a chip on their shoulder after dropping two straight against the Titans and Chiefs, two teams that sit in the top-7 favorites to win this year's Super Bowl.

The Jets, well you know, are now SU and ATS, and sit ranked dead last in points scored 75 and 30th in points allowed I actually believe this Jets team is worse now than they were in Week 1, when they lost to this Bills team by Top receiver Jamison Crowder has also been limited, so I'll take the Bills by two touchdowns or more for me. I do want to highlight the fact that the Steelers match up particularly well with this Titans offense.

Pittsburgh has been dominant—historically dominant—on first downs: Opponents are facing an average second-down distance of 9. I like the Chargers this week, which says just as much about what I think of their opponents.

Justin Herbert has earned high marks for his play, but is still searching for his first win. I think the Chargers, coming out of their bye week, will be ready to play a full 60 minutes to put an inferior opponent away by two scores. Michael Fabiano resolves some of these sticky offseason situations with his fantasy wish list for the season.

Williams was eliminated by Sara Errani in the second round of the Australian Open. Looking ahead to the biggest issues and stories that will dominate the NFL in the coming months. Washington teammates Chase Young, Dontrelle Inman and Nick Sundberg testified to support police reform in Maryland during a virtual hearing on Tuesday. Texas Tech head coach Chris Beard dropped to the court amid an animated outburst in final seconds of his team's loss. Realmuto, take a deep dive into the best players available this winter.

Gambling problem? Eligibility restrictions apply. See draftkings. Cookie banner We use cookies and other tracking technologies to improve your browsing experience on our site, show personalized content and targeted ads, analyze site traffic, and understand where our audiences come from. By choosing I Accept , you consent to our use of cookies and other tracking technologies. NFL picks against the spread for every game in Week 7. Reddit Pocket Flipboard Email.

In the meantime, here are my five picks of choice for this weekend: Browns South Florida How and what to watch for Marquette vs. Nebraska How and what to watch for No. Ole Miss How and what to watch for Georgia vs. Share this story Twitter Facebook.

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Lines are moving so some of the lines below will be different from what you see on game day. Look for value where you can! Browns Giants Eagles Gambling problem? Eligibility restrictions apply. See draftkings. Cookie banner We use cookies and other tracking technologies to improve your browsing experience on our site, show personalized content and targeted ads, analyze site traffic, and understand where our audiences come from.

By choosing I Accept , you consent to our use of cookies and other tracking technologies. NFL picks against the spread for every game in Week 7. Reddit Pocket Flipboard Email. In the meantime, here are my five picks of choice for this weekend: Browns Of course, you can say the same things about a lot of the teams Pittsburgh has beaten, but the difference is the underlying metrics tell a much different story about the Steelers than the Titans.

And that story is the Steelers are better. Fornelli is on the season with his best bets, and he's locked three more in for Week 7. Check them all out in his Thursday column. The Falcons' pass defense is still terrible, and I don't think they'll be able to generate turnovers in this one with Matthew Stafford good at protecting the ball. The Lions played a tough schedule before their bye, with their opponents a combined on the year. And remember that Detroit dealt with major injury issues in the secondary early in the season.

I believe this team is better than we think, and the Lions should beat the Falcons in a lookahead spot for Atlanta with 'Thursday Night Football' up next. White on why the Lions are one of his best bets. I've cashed twice in the Las Vegas SuperContest, widely considered the toughest sports gambling competition in the world. Teddy Bridgewater is playing well and the Panthers should keep this close. New Orleans should not be laying over a touchdown here. Check out the rest of his best bet parlay over at SportsLine.

If you didn't use the Bills in Week 1, now is the time to take them in survivor pools. Even though they haven't played well over the last few weeks, they get to face the worst team in the league in a road matchup with the Jets. Survivor pool players are likely making the Jets an autofade, so this will likely be a popular selection. If you want to zag where everyone else is zigging, you'll probably be taking the Chargers against a Jaguars team that has as good an argument as anyone to be the worst non-Jets team in the league, especially with the NFC East all playing each other this week.

But don't just take my advice. It's off to a strong roll on top-rated NFL picks this season. The Texans have certainly improved after the firing of Bill O'Brien, but have covered the spread just one time this season. Green Bay is against the spread vs. The Packers are going to rebound, and I'm actually surprised they aren't favored by more this week. Dajani is in the middle of an incredible season, going on all his ATS picks. See his lean for every game and the rest of his best bets in his Thursday column.

Through six weeks, you could definitely make the case that Tampa Bay's defense has been carrying the team. That unit absolutely destroyed Aaron Rodgers on Sunday and the bad news for the Raiders is that Derek Carr is a less accurate, less mobile, less talented version of Rodgers. If Rodgers couldn't move the ball on Tampa, I'm not sure how the Raiders are going to make it happen. For the Raiders to have a chance, they're going to need the Carr who showed up in Kansas City to show up for this game.

Breech is on Raiders picks this year, so decide for yourself whether to follow or fade him. Check out all of Breech's picks in his Tuesday column, and sign up for more Breech in your inbox by checking out his daily NFL newsletter. There's also an incredibly interesting revenge narrative here for multiple parties. Jimmy Garoppolo was traded by the Patriots to the 49ers, but he shouldn't be mad about it.

Does Bill Belichick actually want to beat him? Kyle Shanahan lost a Super Bowl to Belichick but he had the Pats on the ropes until the Falcons defense completely caved. I'm gonna take the rapidly improving 49ers team over a Pats team that is starting to struggle, even with Cam Newton back under center. Brinson made the 49ers one of his best bets on this week's picks show on the Pick Six Podcast, but you can see all of his final score predictions for every game in his Thursday column.

Kansas City, meanwhile, had a nine-point cushion in their win over the Bills on Monday in a game that felt largely close. This game has the feeling of a Patrick Mahomes track meet that features the typical barrage of points that we've grown accustomed to with the Chiefs over the last few years. Sully already hit one of his locks this week after he predicted the Eagles would win but the Giants would cover, which is exactly what happened he even missed the exact score by a single point.

Check out the rest of his picks in his Wednesday column. This team isn't good. They are bad on defense and Justin Herbert should be able to light them up. The Chargers are coming off a much-needed bye and will have some guys back healthy. They win big. You can see his final score predictions for every game in his Wednesday column. SportsLine expert Zack Cimini is a highly respected Las Vegas handicapper who's never afraid to buck conventional wisdom.

He also has an uncanny feel for the tendencies of Arizona, going on his last 10 against-the-spread picks involving the Cardinals. He's leaning Over on the total, but he also has a strong play on the spread. See which side he loves and why over at SportsLine. I've had a ton of success at SportsLine picking games that involve both these teams.

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Bra betting sidore Pick: Browns The Bills come to town and with a chip on their shoulder after dropping two straight against the Titans and Chiefs, two teams that sit in the top-7 favorites to win this year's Super Bowl. Please enter an email address. Kansas City, meanwhile, had a nine-point cushion in their win over the Bills on Monday in a game that felt largely close. Look for value where you can!
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Localbitcoins moneygram how much Pick: Falcons Not quite sure the Bengals have the defense to disrupt this Browns offense and force Baker Mayfield to beat them from the pocket. The N. Detroit Lions at Atlanta Falcons1 p. Email Sign up No, thanks. But regardless of whom should receive credit, the Falcons have a chance for a second win when they host the Lions Ian Ritchie SIGambling.

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It's not often I get to say this, but I went against the spread with my "Tuley's Take" picks last week -- and my win percentage dropped. That's a good position to be in. As I've stated, there's no doubt that as a confirmed underdog bettor, my success so far this season is in direct correlation to the fact that dogs are hitting around 65 percent on the season.

I have them as 64 percent graded against the ViewFromVegas. Two weeks ago, I wrote that I was happier when I had a solid record in a week when favorites and underdogs were split, so my mark was a bit of a letdown since dogs were ATS in Week 6. In some respects, I should have done better, though the fact I went with favorites was where I went wrong; I was with dogs. Fortunately, I was able to focus on my top plays and my ViewFromVegas. The question now is if the dogs will continue to dominate -- or if we're going to see a regression to the mean.

Of course, I've been being asked that question since Week 3, when dogs went ATS to improve to overall. And we still haven't had a week with more favorites since Week 5 was split This, however, could be the week.

The oddsmakers haven't adjusted too much, but we've seen several lines bet down as it appears the public is starting to think that underdogs are the way to go. Look at the four home underdogs this week and note they went SU and ATS last week : The Rams are less than a six-point dog against the Packers and the remaining three are all under a field goal Panthers versus Cowboys; Buccaneers versus Saints; Bengals versus Steelers.

Those all look as if they should be higher, or at least that's what we've come to expect, so it does lead me to believe we're seeing some value being sucked out of the dogs. With that said, this week I'm treading carefully and being selective in what short prices I'm willing to accept -- and even landing on a few more favorites than I normally take when I see the moves as an over-adjustment.

Matchup: Tennessee Titans at Buffalo Bills. Spread: Bills minus Public perception: Buffalo comes in off an upset win at Arizona in overtime, but is still receiving lukewarm support as a favorite. The Titans upset the Steelers but aren't getting too much love despite getting more than a field goal. The public still doesn't know what to do with these two teams.

Tuley's take: I want to make a case for the dog, but I'm still smarting over the last time I took them two weeks ago at Minnesota they lost The Bills have won their last three games playing against what I consider non-elite teams Chiefs, Browns, Cardinals while being blown out by the Patriots and 49ers. So I'd say the Bills are one of the best mediocre teams right now. Bill Enright BillEnright. So I have to switch things up.

Roy Larking StatsGuru6. Gardner Minshew and the Jaguars travel to the west coast after getting crushed at home by the Detroit Lions last week. Blowing big leads has been a problem for Los Angeles. Both teams are riding a long losing streak but Los Angeles has faced a tougher schedule. The Chargers four losses were by a The Jaguars last four losses, against teams with a record, have been by a average final margin.

Lay the If this game was played exactly one week ago the Patriots would have been around -4 favorites and the entire public would be on them. Instead, we saw a banged up San Francisco 49ers team come out and get a must win game at home against the Rams while the Patriots had an extreme dud game at home versus Denver.

New England wins this game running away. Ian Ritchie SIGambling. This has to be put up or shut up time for Dallas. There's no more time to waste, even in a pathetic NFC East. Andy Dalton had a rough week against the Cardinals, but the matchup against Washington is much more advantageous, especially with the amount of talent at wide receiver. Zeke Elliott gets a dream bounce-back spot against one of the worst defenses in the NFL, and because the public has finally had enough of Dallas letting them down ATS , they're now dogs in a game they should easily win.

Scott Atkins ScottFantasy. After the Dolphins easily covered against the Jets with my best bet last week, I believe the trend continues again this week and I'll pick on the Jets again. The Bills come to town and with a chip on their shoulder after dropping two straight against the Titans and Chiefs, two teams that sit in the top-7 favorites to win this year's Super Bowl. The Jets, well you know, are now SU and ATS, and sit ranked dead last in points scored 75 and 30th in points allowed I actually believe this Jets team is worse now than they were in Week 1, when they lost to this Bills team by Top receiver Jamison Crowder has also been limited, so I'll take the Bills by two touchdowns or more for me.

I do want to highlight the fact that the Steelers match up particularly well with this Titans offense. Pittsburgh has been dominant—historically dominant—on first downs: Opponents are facing an average second-down distance of 9. I like the Chargers this week, which says just as much about what I think of their opponents.

Justin Herbert has earned high marks for his play, but is still searching for his first win. I think the Chargers, coming out of their bye week, will be ready to play a full 60 minutes to put an inferior opponent away by two scores. Michael Fabiano resolves some of these sticky offseason situations with his fantasy wish list for the season.

Williams was eliminated by Sara Errani in the second round of the Australian Open. Looking ahead to the biggest issues and stories that will dominate the NFL in the coming months.

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